Where the markets are, and when they open.
Each market is waiting for trust to be carried without a person in the loop. Ten markets, a path to 2050 that shows when each opens, and the five layers that set the pace.
Ten markets the status quo keeps closed.
None of these is waiting for a better app. Each is waiting for trust to be carried without a human. The year is our estimate of when that happens.
When does each market open, and what has to happen first? → the path to 2050
Five steps from today to 2050.
Our scenario, in five steps. Click a step to see what changes and which markets open.
Why does it take this long? Technology is only one of five layers under each pillar → what has to move
Each pillar is built from five layers. The slowest layer sets the date.
Technology
Machines that are identifiable, limited, reliable and recorded.
Process
Ways to check machines without slowing them down.
Regulation
Rules that recognise a machine’s mandate, record and liability.
Economics
Someone paid to run the trust, and someone to insure it.
People
People willing to delegate, and to let machines in.
Identity, authority, competence, evidence and accountability each need all five layers before a market can open. See the pillar-by-layer analysis →